Yes position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $69.31
- Potential payout
- $70.33
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.31
Polymarket Trader
Amaga-634
0xc3cef84bf33ef15cbf01e5145f50789c13eef543
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $69.31
- Realized PnL
- -$367.77
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.79
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.7
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.53
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.95
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.99
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$62.52
No position
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$65.2
Yes position
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$114.05
Yes position
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$185.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 91% 70.33 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 20% 874.7 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 24% 874.71 shares
- Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes 91.2% 209.93 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes 75% 35.8 shares
- US x China tariff agreement by November 10?No 7% 383.54 shares
- US x China tariff agreement by November 10?No 24% 383.54 shares
- Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes 0.3% 127.2 shares
- Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes 84% 127.2 shares
- Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes 62% 172.34 shares
- Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes 66.4% 172.34 shares
- Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No 67% 141.79 shares