Polymarket Trader

0xc3D13d59273bd97790D1a52B377DeE966c1DD864-1730122297598

0xc3d13d59273bd97790d1a52b377dee966c1dd864

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $60.85
Realized PnL: $627.75
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $42.71
Potential payout: $959.79
Potential profit: $917.08
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.33
Potential profit: $183.33
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $18.14
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $37.42
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: $8.14

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 44.5% and 44.9% on September 26?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.07
Potential profit: $47.07
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.51
Potential profit: $46.51
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.97
Potential profit: $31.97
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.92
Potential profit: $31.92
User PnL: -$4.79

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $23.08
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.04
Potential profit: $23.04
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.83
Potential profit: $21.83
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.3
Potential profit: $17.3
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.39
Potential profit: $14.39
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $12.66
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.6
Potential profit: $9.6
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $6.9
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $355.63

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.63

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.26

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Ric Grenell for Secretary of State?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.67

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

Yes position

Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.62

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.45

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$6.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.8% 959.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 20% 25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 30% 68.18 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 22% 68.18 shares
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 29% 6.9 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 42% 4.76 shares
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 26% 23.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 12% 68.18 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 20% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 22% 68.18 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 25% 60 shares