Polymarket Trader

HocusPorkus

0xc3d52e2fb2cca1828f8c66dee60b56746dae1d72

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $48.73
Realized PnL: $65.21
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 16.4%
Current value: $42.96
Potential payout: $261.95
Potential profit: $218.99
Multiplier: 6.10x
User PnL: $17.96

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $5.77
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $221.5
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $0.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.36
Potential profit: $116.36
User PnL: -$4.65

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.63
Potential profit: $51.63
User PnL: -$11.36

Yes position

Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.81
Potential profit: $48.81
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.19
Potential profit: $46.19
User PnL: -$11

SE Palmeiras position

Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Real Madrid CF position

Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$5

Over position

Santos FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$5

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Over position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Yes position

Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.69

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: $8.33

Yes position

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Under position

76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$26.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

Yes 9.7% 51.68 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5

Over 31% 16.13 shares
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

Yes 9.5% 210.26 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2.4% 555.55 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 227.27 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.9% 555.56 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 0.5% 165 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 21% 23.81 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 4.8% 165 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 4.3% 191.99 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 12.9% 38.76 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 78% 7 shares