Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $381.86
- Potential profit
- $380.14
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Polymarket Trader
0xc3d6...3f35
0xc3d608a676fb5a858c2c8b6dfcaac12601303f35
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $43.99
- Realized PnL
- -$9.74
- Win rate
- 41.2%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $72.29
- Potential profit
- $70.52
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.03
- Potential profit
- $53.03
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $3.28
- Potential payout
- $43.75
- Potential profit
- $40.46
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.67
- Potential profit
- $36.67
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $31.13
- Potential profit
- $26.17
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.9%
- Current value
- $4.58
- Potential payout
- $27.17
- Potential profit
- $22.59
- Multiplier
- 5.93x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $25.85
- Potential profit
- $21.01
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $15.75
- Potential profit
- $13.9
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.6%
- Current value
- $5.59
- Potential payout
- $14.5
- Potential profit
- $8.91
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $11.61
- Potential profit
- $11.61
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.1%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $9.65
- Potential profit
- $6.65
- Multiplier
- 3.22x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.8%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $8.93
- Potential profit
- $6.89
- Multiplier
- 4.39x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Y
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $2.47
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $3.08
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $1.94
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
N
No position
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $2.02
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $2.69
- Potential payout
- $2.89
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Ethereum above 1,730 on July 9, 12PM ET?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Up position
Solana Up or Down - July 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Ethereum above 1,730 on July 9, 12PM ET?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Bitcoin above 63,200 on July 9, 12PM ET?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETDown 99% 1.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETDown 94% 1.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp 9% 11.11 shares
- Solana Up or Down - July 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp 1% 20 shares
- Solana Up or Down - July 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp 5% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETUp 99% 1.44 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETDown 4% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETDown 33% 3.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETUp 69% 1.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETDown 1% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETUp 58% 18.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETUp 14% 7.14 shares