Yes position
Will Falcons reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $2.67
- Potential payout
- $29.7
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Polymarket Trader
galen199.
0xc3d7ac81fbaaa4c0eca9105c20c5e800c381c714
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19
- Realized PnL
- $2.37
- Win rate
- 47.6%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $5.45
- Potential payout
- $16.27
- Potential profit
- $10.82
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $8.78
- Potential profit
- $6.54
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.12
- Potential profit
- $6.12
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $1.76
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.51
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $1.74
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Visa" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.8%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $1.71
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "History" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.49
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.46
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Francisco Conceição be in Portugal's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Daichi Kamada be in Japan's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Daizen Maeda be in Japan's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Karrigan retire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
N
No position
Will Iran reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Davido perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will FalleN win a S-Tier event before June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Visa" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 90.9% 1.71 shares
- Will Karrigan retire by June 30?No 96.1% 1.74 shares
- Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?No 95% 1.7 shares
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?No 90% 3.66 shares
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?No 79% 2.51 shares
- Will the announcers say "History" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 75% 1.49 shares
- Will Karrigan retire by June 30?No 97.4% 1.74 shares
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?No 80% 2.17 shares
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?No 80% 1.49 shares
- Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?No 96% 1.7 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No 86% 2.91 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 81% 0.43 shares