Polymarket Trader

plasma1

0xc3da5b4a9a0f367ebc177fdc92ebccc5977d1dd8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $751.98
Realized PnL: $18.25
Win rate: 78.6%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $330.03
Potential payout: $335.22
Potential profit: $5.2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.03

No position

Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $300.93
Potential payout: $307.7
Potential profit: $6.77
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.74

No position

Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $39.96
Potential payout: $40.8
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.96

Yes position

World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $32.68
Potential profit: $32.3
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$4.62

Yes position

Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $19.64
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $19.52
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will Vesselin Dimitrov win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $15.3
Potential payout: $15.74
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $5.7
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $3.07
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.1
Potential profit: $7.1
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.82
Potential profit: $6.82
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 82.6%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $5.78
Potential payout: $6.02
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $5.95
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $5.13
Potential payout: $5.34
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $4.45
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

Yes position

Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will Australia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.54

No position

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$1.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 95% 5 shares
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 95% 45 shares
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 95% 14.32 shares
Will Vesselin Dimitrov win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 94% 15.74 shares
Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 93.1% 40.8 shares
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 93.4% 214.21 shares
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 95.8% 208.71 shares
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 86% 23.26 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 20.7 shares
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 86% 40.7 shares
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 86% 5.81 shares
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 86% 5.81 shares