Yes position
2025 July hottest on record?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $3.13K
- User PnL
- -$250
Polymarket Trader
Waverider
0xc3da937db80fdb4389c715905abb9d266abef328
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $286.58
- Realized PnL
- $7.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- User PnL
- -$313
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $133.75
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$132.24
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $883.12
- Potential profit
- $883.12
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $874.49
- Potential profit
- $874.49
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $669.33
- Potential profit
- $669.33
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $658.33
- Potential profit
- $658.33
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Yes position
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $152.31
- Potential payout
- $543.98
- Potential profit
- $391.66
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $9.06
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $363.7
- Potential profit
- $363.7
- User PnL
- -$297
Yes position
Will Elon register the America Party in July?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $335.59
- Potential profit
- $335.59
- User PnL
- -$198
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $273.65
- Potential profit
- $273.65
- User PnL
- -$27
Izagakhmaev position
UFC Fight Night: Dalby vs. Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Prelims)
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270.27
- Potential profit
- $270.27
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
US forces in Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $262.2
- Potential profit
- $262.2
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $261.04
- Potential profit
- $261.04
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $221.75
- Potential profit
- $221.75
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Another US bank failure by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $183.35
- Potential profit
- $183.35
- User PnL
- -$46
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $160.93
- Potential profit
- $160.53
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$37.6
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.23
- Potential profit
- $136.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Aster all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.18
- Potential profit
- $119.18
- User PnL
- -$20
Texans position
Texans vs. Patriots
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.91
- Potential profit
- $103.91
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.61
- Potential profit
- $88.61
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $75.92
- Potential profit
- $75.81
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$14.89
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.57
- Potential profit
- $73.57
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750.36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $687.28
Yes position
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $601.29
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $452.33
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.22
Chimaev position
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.91
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.62
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.47
Asplund position
UFC Fight Night: Asplund vs. Sharaf (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.13
Paul position
Boxing - Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $85.38
Makhachev position
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.78
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.91
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.52
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.2
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.14
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.33
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.25
Gaethje position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.43
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.85
Yes position
US bank failure by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.48
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.1
Yes position
US bank failure by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes 0.6% 491.67 shares
- Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15% 146.67 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev 82% 60.98 shares
- Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Yes 30% 181.32 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev 82% 32.93 shares
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes 50% 40 shares
- UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev 82% 146.34 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 250 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 90 shares
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes 55% 18.18 shares