Yes position
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.61
Polymarket Trader
Barnacle24
0xc3de5d251eabb1333129184711ad692f2607e227
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.06K
- Realized PnL
- $10.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.2%
- Current value
- $860.5
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $332.15
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $700.14
Yes position
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 40 and 43 inclusive?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $44.77
- Potential payout
- $821.51
- Potential profit
- $776.74
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $804.04
- Potential profit
- $803.64
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.69
Yes position
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $636.77
- Potential profit
- $636.45
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.08
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $13.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $486.25
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $5.75
Yes position
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $493.12
- Potential profit
- $487.94
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$30.82
Yes position
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $361.44
- Potential profit
- $361.26
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.23
Yes position
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $326.81
- Potential profit
- $326.65
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Yes position
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 8?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.4%
- Current value
- $51.12
- Potential payout
- $311.73
- Potential profit
- $260.61
- Multiplier
- 6.10x
- User PnL
- $35.68
Yes position
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $264.52
- Potential profit
- $264.39
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $6.35
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $243.65
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Julie Won be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123
- Potential profit
- $123
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Will there be between 100m and 105m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $19.4
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $80.6
- Multiplier
- 5.15x
- User PnL
- $11.4
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.84
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.95
Yes position
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.7%
- Current value
- $31.46
- Potential payout
- $88.11
- Potential profit
- $56.65
- Multiplier
- 2.80x
- User PnL
- $7.75
Yes position
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $24.45
- Potential payout
- $67.91
- Potential profit
- $43.46
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $9.42
Yes position
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $48.61
- Potential profit
- $48.59
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.17
Yes position
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $46.48
- Potential profit
- $46.46
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $27.76
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$13.76
Yes position
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Chris Madel win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $18.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Yes position
Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
Ends Oct 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $13.23
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Chuck Gray win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $11.66
- Potential profit
- $11.6
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $748.47
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $657.99
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $645.88
No position
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $524.98
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.38
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.11
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 57% and 58%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $221.99
Yes position
Will the Labor Party win by 40 or more seats?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.32
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah receive between 30,000 and 40,000 votes in the 2025 Honduran presidential election?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $175.09
Yes position
Eric Adams out as NYC mayor by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $173
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.28
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.5
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah receive between 20,000 and 30,000 votes in the 2025 Honduran presidential election?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.21
No position
Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 54% and 56%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.31
Yes position
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $132.5
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.21
Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $122.13
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win less than 16% of votes in the first round?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?Yes 36.4% 36 shares
- Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?Yes 3.7% 27 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 250 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.6% 500 shares
- Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?Yes 20.3% 52.11 shares
- Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?Yes 11.1% 14 shares
- Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?Yes 22.1% 67.91 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 26% 99.99 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 8.1% 99.99 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 17% 99.99 shares
- Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?Yes 48.7% 34 shares
- Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?Yes 47.3% 35.85 shares