Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $3.14
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $4.92
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Polymarket Trader
trader-c3f626da
0xc3f626da3c2ed51ce36168047d437aede190060f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.34
- Realized PnL
- $76.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $3.11
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Y
Yes position
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 5–10%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.58
- Potential profit
- $4.58
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Y
Yes position
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.51
- Potential profit
- $3.51
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $3.1
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.4%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $3.08
- Potential profit
- $1.93
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $3.08
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Norway position
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.4%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2.82
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 2.83x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.04
N
No position
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Ends Jul 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $2.05
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
N
No position
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $1.09
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.08
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.08
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $1.07
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.07
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
B8 position
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.77
Over position
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
N
No position
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
Hubert Hurkacz position
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Fight to Go the Distance?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $3.28
Under position
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Maria Timofeeva position
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Maria Timofeeva vs Heather Watson
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Jakub Mensik position
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
NRG position
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Under position
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Over position
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Connecticut Sun position
Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Over position
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Baltimore Orioles position
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Over position
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Chicago Sky position
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 91.2% 0.97 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 91.6% 0.12 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 92.4% 1.08 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 89.6% 0.56 shares
- Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway 35.5% 2.82 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 79.1% 2.23 shares
- Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No 49% 2.04 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 80.3% 1.25 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 80.2% 1.25 shares
- Will the announcers say "History" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 31% 0.44 shares
- Will the announcers say "History" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 28% 0.64 shares
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain 69.2% 1.44 shares