Polymarket Trader

0xC3F7FA733365F61F2Ec32650b5705FcbcA877F63-1770890963369

0xc3f7fa733365f61f2ec32650b5705fcbca877f63

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.86
Realized PnL: $522.6
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.6
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$9.6

Egypt position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.89
Potential profit: $9.89
User PnL: -$2

Felix Auger-Aliassime position

Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $4.24
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $4.69
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $3.02
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will CryptoPunks floor price dip to 20 ETH before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $4.71
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $2.43
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $3.71

Yes position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $0.85
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic

Felix Auger-Aliassime 56% 8.93 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Egypt 31% 3.23 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Over 48% 10.42 shares
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Milwaukee Brewers 27% 3.7 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

Yes 65% 15.38 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Egypt 15% 6.67 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5

Under 86% 1.16 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 40% 12.5 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 51% 9.8 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 62% 8.06 shares
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

No 95.4% 2.1 shares
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

No 41% 4.88 shares