No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $848.76
- Potential payout
- $877.27
- Potential profit
- $28.51
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $83.27
Polymarket Trader
Moneymafia
0xc3f83344c7d6017af729612e8991f496d3f270e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.74K
- Realized PnL
- $239.09
- Win rate
- 93.3%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $443.01
- Potential payout
- $478.93
- Potential profit
- $35.92
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $19.02
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $158.47
- Potential payout
- $168.49
- Potential profit
- $10.03
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.47
No position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $100.26
- Potential payout
- $102.77
- Potential profit
- $2.52
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.3%
- Current value
- $20.27
- Potential payout
- $60.98
- Potential profit
- $40.7
- Multiplier
- 3.01x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $50.24
- Potential payout
- $53.59
- Potential profit
- $3.35
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $49.87
- Potential payout
- $53.08
- Potential profit
- $3.21
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.89
- Potential profit
- $49.89
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $42.09
- Potential payout
- $46.51
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.09
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $22.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.88
No position
China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.7
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.07
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $26.38
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.33
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.82
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Will Trump visit China before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
No position
China bans US films in April?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Will Xi visit the US before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.18
No position
Trump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$17.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 86% 46.51 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.3% 102.77 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94.2% 53.08 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 93.3% 53.59 shares
- Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?No 94.1% 106.27 shares
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No 93% 107.53 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 25 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32.8% 60.98 shares
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No 93% 53.76 shares
- Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No 99.6% 215.2 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No 90% 227.97 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No 88.5% 113.03 shares