Polymarket Trader

zadrian

0xc3f92ffbd1b01eb0e66a60af5b28db196a4080c6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $236.41
Realized PnL: $82.46
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $345.89
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$39

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $179.41
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $114.71
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $79.41

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $25.24
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $70
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $5.24

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $10.74
Potential payout: $70.42
Potential profit: $59.68
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $9.77
Potential payout: $50.51
Potential profit: $40.73
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.8

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.85

Yes position

India x Pakistan ceasefire announced before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

India x Pakistan ceasefire announced before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.8% 357.14 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.8% 50.51 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.2% 70.42 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Yes 21% 95.24 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 34% 294.12 shares
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?

Yes 13% 100 shares
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?

Yes 13% 100 shares
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?

Yes 13% 100 shares
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

Yes 9% 8 shares
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Yes 64% 160 shares
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Yes 51% 60 shares
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Yes 51% 100 shares