No position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $150.62
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $50.62
Polymarket Trader
dc1234
0xc3fb9716a9784d9e29d332d161a2c1a5faf82163
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $204.78
- Realized PnL
- -$44.35
- Win rate
- 89.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $74.07
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $54.17
- Potential payout
- $62.99
- Potential profit
- $8.82
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.13
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.7
No position
Will Trump say "President Xi" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.21
No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.93
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
No position
Will Trump dance during Easter lunch on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" during Monday news conference?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 80% 7.13 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 2.7% 74.07 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No 95% 7.86 shares
- Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?No 51% 7.47 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No 99.4% 3.91 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No 92% 3.91 shares
- Will Trump say "Biden" during Monday news conference?No 35.3% 141.59 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?No 76% 62.99 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 97.5% 205.13 shares
- Will Trump dance during Easter lunch on April 1?No 93.3% 53.62 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes 99.9% 298.16 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes 79.5% 239.14 shares