Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 45m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $189.05
- Potential profit
- $188.96
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$37.72
Polymarket Trader
trading.desk.test
0xc41988f25f9dfe021a1e8699e8b7e0adbe0cca5b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.19
- Realized PnL
- $211.86
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 48m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $189.05
- Potential profit
- $188.96
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$37.72
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 48m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $189.05
- Potential profit
- $188.96
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$37.72
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $37.89
- Potential profit
- $37.87
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.56
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $24.07
- Potential payout
- $25.42
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $14.52
- Potential payout
- $24.4
- Potential profit
- $9.88
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.74
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 95m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $150.19
No position
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- $30.12
No position
Will Paulette Tejada win Chopped Castaways Season 1?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $15.24
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $2.3
N
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- $1.19
N
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $1.1
N
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Y
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
N
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
N
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
No position
Will Aidan Barry Owens win Chopped Castaways Season 1?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Will Cate Meade win Chopped Castaways Season 1?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?No 99.3% 99.99 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?No 99.3% 77.05 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?No 99.3% 12.06 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?No 44% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?No 58% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?No 74% 19.4 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?No 99.8% 9.85 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 9.85 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?No 99.9% 9.85 shares
- Will Dwight Hudgins win Chopped Castaways Season 1?No 99.9% 16 shares
- Will Logan Sandoval win Chopped Castaways Season 1?No 99.9% 16 shares
- Will Jean-Paul Bourgeois win Chopped Castaways Season 1?No 99.8% 16 shares