No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $443.29
- Potential payout
- $745.03
- Potential profit
- $301.74
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $68.03
Polymarket Trader
johnji
0xc42443c8751a9485490dbcb449e9401dfbbcebc9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $443.29
- Realized PnL
- $799.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.67
- Potential profit
- $121.67
- User PnL
- -$73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.01
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.92
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.06
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.53
No position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.91
No position
Will Israel airdrop aid into Gaza?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.32
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.56
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.44
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.22
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.68
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.43
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.36
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.14
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Saudi Arabia airdrop aid into Gaza?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.49
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.62
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $11.98
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.31
No position
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.58
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.55
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?
Ends Jul 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 47% 171.04 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 43.1% 292.82 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 95.7% 131.65 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 60% 121.67 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?No 75% 80 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 97% 137.02 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 60% 281.17 shares
- Will Google reach $330 in March?No 99.7% 42.29 shares
- France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No 99.7% 126.93 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 85% 268.67 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 99.6% 229.28 shares
- Will Google reach $330 in March?No 86% 42.29 shares