No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $132.8
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $132.8
Polymarket Trader
nswe
0xc4289656c67d32b52ec958351c6afd30b2e2458a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.55K
- Realized PnL
- $1.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$195
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$110.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.97
- Potential profit
- $299.97
- User PnL
- -$116.99
No position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$64
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $65
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$59
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $84.76
- Potential payout
- $99.13
- Potential profit
- $14.37
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.4
Yes position
Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.21
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.98
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $137.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.61
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.02
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 99.4% 11.18 shares
- Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 5% 500 shares
- Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?No 95.2% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 84% 820 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 36% 46.09 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?No 99.7% 807.26 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?No 99.1% 807.27 shares
- Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?Yes 53.5% 200 shares
- Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?Yes 53.5% 164 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 98.9% 782 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 72% 3.5 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 26% 322.45 shares