Polymarket Trader

Gutume

0xc43b28a88dbc8b654fe2a7400d88e8a1736cd145

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $114.57
Realized PnL: $12.64
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $51.06
Potential payout: $52.37
Potential profit: $1.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.94

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $13.34
Potential payout: $13.73
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.58
Potential payout: $11.58
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.58

Vasco Esports position

Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Damajuana (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.65
Potential payout: $10.65
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.32
Potential payout: $9.32
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.09
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.07
Potential payout: $6.07
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $3.46
Potential payout: $5.81
Potential profit: $2.35
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$1.54

No position

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.36
Potential profit: $5.36
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Belarus start mining Bitcoin before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

No position

Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-02-27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will Melissa make landfall at category 1 or weaker?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Israel strikes Iran by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

los kogutos position

Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs brazylijski luz (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #17 Group A

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Russian strike on Poland by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Ryan Coogler be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Poland Election?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Missing Epstein cell footage released before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential Election

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Peter Navarro out of Trump administration in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

TikTok sale announced before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Is Earth flat?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

ChatGPT #1 app May 9?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will NVDA purchase Bitcoin before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Damajuana (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage

Vasco Esports 93.9% 10.65 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 95% 11.58 shares
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

No 88% 9.09 shares
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?

No 96.9% 11.35 shares
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

No 99.4% 12.07 shares
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?

No 98.9% 8.09 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

No 96.6% 9.32 shares
Human moon landing in 2026?

No 95.8% 14.65 shares
Another US bank failure by March 31?

No 79% 2.44 shares
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?

No 98.8% 6.07 shares
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

No 93.2% 5.36 shares
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs brazylijski luz (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #17 Group A

los kogutos 95% 10.53 shares