Polymarket Trader

0xC44919585347FC59c162D51E62dB0F8B072fbB3F-1778303527810

0xc44919585347fc59c162d51e62db0f8b072fbb3f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $145.63
Realized PnL: $111.62
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Trump kiss by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.05K
Potential profit: $3.05K
User PnL: -$40.99

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $3.04K
User PnL: -$279.99

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $936.23
Potential profit: $936.23
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $18.05
Potential payout: $768.12
Potential profit: $750.07
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$41.95

Yes position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $21.79
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $692.5
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$28.21

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $21.54
Potential payout: $633.66
Potential profit: $612.11
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$8.46

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $419.43
Potential profit: $419.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $385.07
Potential profit: $385.07
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

New pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $19.64
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $337.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$30.36

Yes position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $8.34
Potential payout: $355.01
Potential profit: $346.67
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$11.66

No position

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $342.83
Potential profit: $342.83
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $6.35
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $243.65
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$23.65

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160.71
Potential profit: $160.71
User PnL: -$100

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $79.5
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.77
Potential profit: $77.77
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $27.08
Potential payout: $69.44
Potential profit: $42.36
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$2.92

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $63.11
Potential profit: $60.78
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$7.66

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.62
Potential profit: $56.62
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.62

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.45

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.91

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Trump Leave China on May 16?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$96.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 925.93 shares
Trump kiss by May 31?

No 0.1% 40,000 shares
Trump kiss by May 31?

No 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.9% 1,123.6 shares
Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Yes 7% 714.29 shares
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 63% 142.86 shares
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 56% 17.86 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Yes 0.9% 1,065.43 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 238.1 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 2.3% 436.23 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Yes 0.9% 1,111.11 shares
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 98.8% 45.45 shares