Yes position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
dafadvs33333
0xc449dd9a6f8be14ad6deb9618774453e9a7f03f7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.78
- Realized PnL
- $44.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $9.56
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $12.02
- Potential payout
- $12.27
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $8.58
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Yes position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.34
- Potential profit
- $10.34
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $10.01
- Potential payout
- $10.32
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10.31
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.92
- Potential profit
- $7.92
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $5.78
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$4.37
No position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.7
- Potential profit
- $6.7
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.38
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.13
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: August
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30?
Ends Aug 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 76% 13.16 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No 96.9% 10.32 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No 97.8% 12.27 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 95% 10.53 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No 97% 10.31 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No 80% 12.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?No 92.1% 9.77 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No 91% 10.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 94.9% 10.54 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 97.5% 10.26 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 98.1% 10.19 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?No 94% 10.64 shares