Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.2%
- Current value
- $2.65K
- Potential payout
- $7.14K
- Potential profit
- $4.49K
- Multiplier
- 2.69x
- User PnL
- -$660.42
Polymarket Trader
Lfg123
0xc449e7593d00104cee02845423a2c7d8e9c6f3d5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.65K
- Realized PnL
- $80.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.83K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.21K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.51K
No position
Will Biden resign before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29K
Yes position
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.96K
Yes position
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43K
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23K
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2024 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
No position
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Yes position
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $973.4
No position
Pump.fun disables livestreaming by Friday?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $911.9
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $877.18
No position
Fed rate cut by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $746.92
Yes position
Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $725.86
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fake News" at his rally?
Ends Aug 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $636.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 47% 2,473.37 shares
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes 99.8% 3,011.98 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 97.6% 3,005.96 shares
- Will Base launch a token in 2025?No 94.8% 100 shares
- Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 96.3% 550.03 shares
- Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 95% 1,500 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 96.2% 993.77 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 96.1% 2,000 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 93% 100 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 89% 33.69 shares
- Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes 46.7% 6,652.99 shares
- TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes 99% 50,505 shares