Polymarket Trader

onlyinvegas

0xc44d644ddc841431037a94d87b3a28760f30935c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $86.48K
Realized PnL: $134.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $21.68K
Potential payout: $23.25K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $895.13

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $21.1K
Potential payout: $21.5K
Potential profit: $397.75
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $27.76

No position

Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $9.82K
Potential profit: $8.59K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$123.85

No position

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $7.48K
Potential payout: $8.74K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $245.77

No position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $8.2K
Potential profit: $7.09K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$638.97

No position

Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $5.67K
Potential payout: $5.99K
Potential profit: $320.37
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $5.8K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$550.99

No position

Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $5.36K
Potential payout: $5.44K
Potential profit: $81.64
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.88K
Potential payout: $4.89K
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: $926.07

No position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $1.41K
Potential payout: $4.1K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $412.09

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $3.38K
Potential payout: $3.59K
Potential profit: $210.21
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$20.51

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $2.41K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $592.5
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$82.5

No position

Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $2.14K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $854.99
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $75

No position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $706.66
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$840.35

No position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $452.78
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $754.63

No position

Will Caleb Wilson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $276.27
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $21.33

No position

Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $68.01
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $20.48

No position

Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $620.82
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $659.22
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$257.6

No position

Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $374.75
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $895.59
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$133.39

No position

Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 88.2%
Current value: $817.98
Potential payout: $927.42
Potential profit: $109.44
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$6.49

No position

Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $905.04
Potential payout: $905.5
Potential profit: $0.45
User PnL: $90.1

No position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $799.99
Potential profit: $799.59
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$215.6

No position

Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $506.76
Potential payout: $614.25
Potential profit: $107.49
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $39.43

No position

Will Caleb Wilson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 91.1%
Current value: $543.04
Potential payout: $596.09
Potential profit: $53.05
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $60.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.39K

Patriots position

Jets vs. Patriots

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63K

76ers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.92K

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56K

Slovakia position

Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finland

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56K

Clippers position

Jazz vs. Clippers

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.79K

Ohio State position

Ohio State vs. Michigan

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.62K

Suns position

Suns vs. Wizards

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.17K

49ers position

Panthers vs. 49ers

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1K

No position

Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.72K

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11K

Yes position

Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11K

Thunder position

Trail Blazers vs. Thunder

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5K

Texans position

Raiders vs. Texans

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95K

No position

Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91K

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19K

Yes position

Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01K

No position

Will Oregon win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76K

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Jazz

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75K

No position

Will Denver Nuggets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49K

Pistons position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33K

Clippers position

Kings vs. Clippers

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31K

Warriors position

Nets vs. Warriors

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27K

Suns position

Nets vs. Suns

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?

No 88% 9,700 shares
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5

Over 56% 100 shares
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5

Over 56% 600 shares
Spread: France (-2.5)

France 43% 2,200 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

No 88% 50 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

No 88% 2,600 shares
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?

No 93% 11,000 shares
Will Caleb Wilson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

No 16% 428.84 shares
Will Caleb Wilson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

No 15% 609.84 shares
Will Caleb Wilson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

No 14% 50 shares
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

No 78% 71 shares
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?

No 71% 3,880 shares