No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $36.7K
- Potential payout
- $39.68K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.64K
Polymarket Trader
beeply
0xc451017789fcf171e04a0e42d5e0bf083c2f2609
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.7K
- Realized PnL
- $108.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.84K
- Potential profit
- $13.84K
- User PnL
- -$3.93K
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.72K
- Potential profit
- $13.72K
- User PnL
- -$4.42K
Yes position
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.52K
- Potential profit
- $12.52K
- User PnL
- -$8.13K
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.95K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- User PnL
- -$827.45
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- User PnL
- -$865.81
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $558.34
- Potential profit
- $558.34
- User PnL
- -$145.08
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $345
- Potential profit
- $345
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.53K
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.4K
Yes position
OpenAI browser in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.95K
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07K
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28K
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?
Ends Aug 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73K
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48K
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25K
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
Ends Aug 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
OpenAI browser by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
Yes position
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $978.73
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $829.71
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $742.74
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.73
No position
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $396.18
No position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.2
Yes position
OpenAI social app in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.62
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.28
No position
Will Bianca Censori be the #2 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.77
No position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 91% 4,627.52 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No 81% 1,957.24 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?No 34.8% 2,394.58 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?No 31% 430 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?No 30% 4,527.68 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No 81.7% 7,195.96 shares
- Maduro out in 2025?No 99.9% 2,000 shares
- Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?Yes 81% 100.24 shares
- Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 71% 244 shares
- Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 67.8% 244.43 shares
- Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 59.7% 505.21 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes 52% 57 shares