Polymarket Trader

S3CAR

0xc4594a1710d419a8ec936a3230045664d2670d59

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $52.68
Realized PnL: $283.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.66K
Potential profit: $31.66K
User PnL: -$192.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $612.54
Potential profit: $612.54
User PnL: -$379.99

No position

Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $334.33
Potential profit: $334.33
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in December 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.95
Potential profit: $182.95
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Laso Finance FDV above $5M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.01
Potential profit: $30.01
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $23.33
Potential profit: $21.82
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.02

No position

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $14.98
Potential payout: $18.05
Potential profit: $3.07
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $14.88
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.33
Potential profit: $16.33
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $9.6
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $5.4
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $11.27
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.27

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $3.82
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $7.94
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 48.7%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.14
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $3.87

Yes position

Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.5
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.9

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.65

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.94

No position

Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.44

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.59

Yes position

Will Olympiakos Piraeus vs. Pafos FC end in a draw?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 September 15-21?

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.83

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during Monday press conference?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 September 15-21?

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.82

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62

Yes position

Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Over position

United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

No 97% 6.26 shares
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 49% 2.04 shares
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?

Yes 30% 5 shares
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?

Yes 39% 5 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

No 89% 3.4 shares
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?

No 81% 2.47 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?

No 32% 5 shares
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

No 67% 5 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 85% 5.74 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 58% 6 shares
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

No 51% 6 shares
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

No 61% 3.07 shares