Polymarket Trader

TraderD2

0xc4604b6f956bbe2179d6d102bedc8c06f02c0aa4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.81K
Realized PnL: $2.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $3.81K
Potential payout: $8.37K
Potential profit: $4.56K
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$1.84K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.96K
Potential profit: $3.96K
User PnL: -$102.98

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$8.9

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 43°F or below on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 1-7?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $389.47
Potential profit: $389.47
User PnL: -$74

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 December 1-7?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $329.71
Potential profit: $329.71
User PnL: -$2

Saints position

Saints vs. Dolphins

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $319.35
Potential profit: $319.35
User PnL: -$99

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 December 1-7?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.66
Potential profit: $266.66
User PnL: -$4.2

Over position

Borussia Dortmund vs. 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.33
Potential profit: $233.33
User PnL: -$161

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on December 22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.31
Potential profit: $200.31
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,600 December 8-14?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.05
Potential profit: $186.05
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 November 24-30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.56
Potential profit: $174.56
User PnL: -$7.3

Over position

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.21
Potential profit: $170.21
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165.14
Potential profit: $165.14
User PnL: -$89

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 February 9-15?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160.01
Potential profit: $160.01
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will OpenSea be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.55
Potential profit: $154.55
User PnL: -$1.7

Fenerbahce position

Fenerbahce vs. Panathinaikos

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.79
Potential profit: $151.79
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 February 9-15?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.67
Potential profit: $141.67
User PnL: -$1.7

Over position

Pelicans vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.35
Potential profit: $140.35
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.47
Potential profit: $139.47
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $999

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $200.21

Yes position

Will PSV win on 2025-12-21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.61

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

Yes position

Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.01

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83

Shevchenko position

UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.47

Fenerbahce position

Partizan vs. Fenerbahce

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.91

Over position

Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

Yes position

Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.03

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.94

Over position

Páfos FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

Over position

UC Sampdoria vs. US Avellino 1912: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.94

Over position

Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli: O/U 3.5

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

Over position

Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62

Over position

Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.21

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Jazz

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.21

Over position

FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.59

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

Over position

AS Roma vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.55

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Raptors

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.9

Over position

Ferencvárosi TC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.67

Over position

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.33

Yes position

Will Samsunspor win on 2025-12-01?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 2.6% 3,803.46 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 2.7% 151.85 shares
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Yes 0.4% 58.77 shares
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Yes 0.3% 95.82 shares
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Yes 0.6% 71.9 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 44% 162.57 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

No 28.5% 99.98 shares
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 7,264.94 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 25% 112 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

No 24% 122.45 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 53% 457.49 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 56% 50 shares