Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $442.54
- Potential profit
- $442.32
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$66.38
Polymarket Trader
marcoboi
0xc4680cb8e6bc14ec2100c6e52744f8e8e37f7a10
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.22
- Realized PnL
- $157.24
- Win rate
- 65%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.63
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.96
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.43
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.61
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.68
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.33
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.54
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.26
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$12.86
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.52
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$80.77
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$140.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 46% 147.83 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 59.8% 116.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 19?Yes 15% 442.54 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 60.6% 116.61 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 60.8% 233.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 9% 1,602.56 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 15% 833.33 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 34% 366.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 13% 769.23 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 53% 190 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 74% 540.54 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 89.9% 556.23 shares