Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $5.9K
- Potential payout
- $6.9K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $439.85
Polymarket Trader
0xC46f094934Bb4FC728D90aafB6B4AcC06c073130-1768924929951
0xc46f094934bb4fc728d90aafb6b4acc06c073130
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.34K
- Realized PnL
- $607.71
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $5.56K
- Potential payout
- $6.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$296.82
No position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $3.2K
- Potential payout
- $3.25K
- Potential profit
- $47.1
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $78.29
Yes position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $158.43
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $107.76
No position
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $51.47
- Potential payout
- $118.32
- Potential profit
- $66.85
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$8.48
No position
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $110.94
- Potential payout
- $117.83
- Potential profit
- $6.89
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $13.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $149.32
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.23
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.89
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.68
No position
US strike on Cuba by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.51
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.49
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.38
Yes position
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.01
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.72
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.25
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.29
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.17
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.76
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04
No position
Will Jonas Sulzbach win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Chaiany Andrade win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Babu Santana win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No 86% 10 shares
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No 85% 110.48 shares
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No 78% 9.59 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes 72% 200 shares
- Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No 42% 18.27 shares
- Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes 82% 160 shares
- Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes 82% 243 shares
- Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes 82.6% 449.99 shares
- Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes 81% 12 shares
- Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No 50.7% 1,144.65 shares
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No 90.1% 410.83 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes 82% 1,015.17 shares