Polymarket Trader

rapeygroyper

0xc4723315c071997a3f7bd19f16cf873a29eeced9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.78K
Realized PnL: $2.65K
Win rate: 29.2%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump resign today?

Ends Sep 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$649.3

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.76K
Potential profit: $57.76K
User PnL: -$1.59K

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $1.78K
Potential payout: $33.23K
Potential profit: $31.45K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.85K
Potential profit: $16.85K
User PnL: -$1.79K

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.13K
Potential profit: $5.13K
User PnL: -$91.73

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.42K
Potential profit: $4.42K
User PnL: -$1.13K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $3.14K
User PnL: -$66

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $2.79K
User PnL: -$111

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$83.16

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$90.92

Tate position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$117.54

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $798.84
Potential profit: $798.84
User PnL: -$141.92

Yes position

Obama in jail in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $717.37
Potential profit: $717.37
User PnL: -$20.13

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $676.45
Potential profit: $676.45
User PnL: -$62.91

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $571.53
Potential profit: $571.53
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump announce Ron Paul as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $480
Potential profit: $480
User PnL: -$10.73

Yes position

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.57
Potential profit: $272.57
User PnL: -$38.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $810

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $352.57

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.33

Iowa State position

Spread: Iowa State (-5.5)

Ends Sep 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162

Yes position

US military action against Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.11

Yes position

Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.41

Yes position

Trump announces the US is giving up NATO command before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Obama arrested in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.64

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.86

Yes position

China-EU trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22.05

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$46.15

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$75.1

Yes position

Obama federally charged in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$76.12

Yes position

U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$77.49

Yes position

Israel strike on Iran on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$90.03

Yes position

US military action against Iran in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$130.55

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$148.96

No position

Iran strike on Israel in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$207.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 9,000 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 19% 1,000 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 8,435.62 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 15,789.47 shares
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Yes 3% 514.2 shares
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Yes 2.9% 597.01 shares
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Tate 24% 210 shares
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Yes 2% 10,122.97 shares
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Yes 1.5% 1,489.33 shares
U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?

Yes 0.8% 1,134.34 shares
Obama arrested in 2025?

Yes 0.4% 612 shares
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?

Yes 0.3% 1,429.96 shares