Polymarket Trader

pizda1

0xc48526beac5dd8444a60e9c9e8666a3f970cc2a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.91K
Realized PnL: $2.4K
Win rate: 77.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.66K
Potential profit: $7.66K
User PnL: -$481.25

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.12K
Potential profit: $4.12K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $460.32
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $2.71K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.54K

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $2.95K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $2.46K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $599.22
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $829.2
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $299.22

Yes position

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $147.46
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$152.54

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$488.41

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $505.72
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $558.96
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $5.72

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $307.36
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $734.54
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$192.64

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $346.58
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $687.98
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$153.42

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $940.13
Potential payout: $940.13
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $449.7

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $932
Potential payout: $932
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $432

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $757.58
Potential profit: $757.58
User PnL: -$250

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $746.27
Potential payout: $746.27
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $246.27

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $742.12
Potential profit: $742.12
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $704.23
Potential payout: $704.23
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $204.23

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $696.03
Potential profit: $696.03
User PnL: -$494.2

Yes position

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $220.86
Potential payout: $669.28
Potential profit: $448.42
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$79.14

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $659.99
Potential profit: $659.99
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $605.37
Potential profit: $605.37
User PnL: -$496.4

Yes position

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $592.36
Potential profit: $592.36
User PnL: -$500

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $701.43

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $525

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.3

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.95

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $20.27

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026?

Yes 93.5% 153.81 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?

Yes 30.3% 659.99 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Yes 13.5% 742.12 shares
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?

Yes 20.9% 477.98 shares
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?

Yes 47.1% 212.25 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Yes 4.1% 2,460.89 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Yes 19.5% 512.27 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

No 67% 746.27 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

No 85% 588.24 shares
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Yes 44.8% 669.28 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Yes 52.2% 940.13 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?

Yes 84.7% 586.43 shares