Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $99.48
- Potential payout
- $137.22
- Potential profit
- $37.73
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $2.79
Polymarket Trader
0xc48f...37f1
0xc48f09256349a2f40853def12219186febf837f1
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $118.95
- Realized PnL
- $38.97
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $16.52
- Potential payout
- $22.02
- Potential profit
- $5.51
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $7.31
- Potential profit
- $5.3
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $3.79
- Potential profit
- $2.84
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Gentle Mates position
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.3
Bounty Hunters Esports position
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.32
Honvéd position
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group B
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.89
Keyd position
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.38
Wildcard position
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$62.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?Up 28% 3.79 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?Up 29% 3.66 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?Up 29% 3.66 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?Down 78% 9.24 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?Down 71% 9.73 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?Down 70% 9.87 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?Down 70% 9.87 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?Down 78% 9.12 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?Down 70% 9.87 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?Down 70% 9.87 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?Down 70% 9.8 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 16?Down 70% 9.87 shares