Polymarket Trader

illuminate-171

0xc4a2ded25bb17a6ce8a14d99e5bacb3bda4fa2e3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: -$4.57
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.11
Potential profit: $5.11
User PnL: -$2.81

No position

Bitcoin all time high by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 3?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Solana all time high in Q4?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

No position

Linea airdrop in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

LayerZero airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will $BTC reach 70k before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will India win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?

Ends Sep 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Bitcoin above $65,000 on July 26?

Ends Jul 26, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

zkSync airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 3?

Yes 39% 2.56 shares
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)

Gen.G 88% 2.27 shares
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-25?

Yes 87% 1.15 shares
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)

T1 90% 1.11 shares
Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?

No 93% 1.08 shares
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by January 31, 2025?

Yes 55% 5.11 shares
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?

No 56% 3.57 shares
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

No 43% 9.3 shares
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?

Yes 61% 4.92 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?

Yes 18% 22.22 shares
Linea airdrop in 2024?

No 99.5% 6.88 shares
Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?

No 70% 4.29 shares