No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.67K
- Potential payout
- $2.68K
- Potential profit
- $9.39
- User PnL
- $47.29
Polymarket Trader
0xC4A7523e78D5a904d9f03BebBa723b7A8bF9898A-1773297208920
0xc4a7523e78d5a904d9f03bebba723b7a8bf9898a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.8K
- Realized PnL
- $563.57
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.67K
- Potential payout
- $2.68K
- Potential profit
- $4.02
- User PnL
- $30.66
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $1.96K
- Potential profit
- $114.45
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $16.21
No position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- User PnL
- $26.44
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- $6.34
Yes position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $986.18
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $58.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$6.27
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- User PnL
- $10.1
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $884.34
- Potential payout
- $887.89
- Potential profit
- $3.55
- User PnL
- $20.03
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $654.72
- Potential payout
- $656.36
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- User PnL
- $6.99
No position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $619.52
- Potential payout
- $620.45
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- User PnL
- $7.26
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $546.08
- Potential payout
- $546.9
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- User PnL
- $6.91
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $479.3
- Potential payout
- $501.88
- Potential profit
- $22.58
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $14.58
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $436.75
- Potential payout
- $437.41
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $383.38
- Potential payout
- $429.08
- Potential profit
- $45.7
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$12.29
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $359.75
- Potential payout
- $360.29
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $330.77
- Potential payout
- $331.93
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $298.19
- Potential payout
- $300.45
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- User PnL
- $10.44
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $295.51
- Potential payout
- $295.8
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $3.79
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $235.84
- Potential payout
- $249.57
- Potential profit
- $13.73
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $11.11
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $239.33
- Potential payout
- $239.69
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $231.03
- Potential payout
- $231.61
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $219.2
- Potential payout
- $219.53
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- User PnL
- $6.74
No position
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $216.42
- Potential payout
- $217.4
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- User PnL
- $14.19
No position
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $199.3
- Potential payout
- $199.6
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $2.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.84
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.82
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.25
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.4
Carlos Ulberg position
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.37
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.03
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.49
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.68
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.32
Gabriel Bonfim position
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.74
Joanderson Brito position
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.52
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.74
Josh Hokit position
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.97
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.95
Colby Thicknesse position
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.47
Brando Pericic position
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.99
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.63
No position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.42
No position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.89
Édgar Cháirez position
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.42
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95.8% 29.51 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.6% 41.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92.3% 12 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92.1% 9.77 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 6.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94.6% 5.35 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94.6% 5.52 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94.6% 30.06 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 98.2% 7.64 shares
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No 96.7% 6.87 shares
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No 96.7% 6.69 shares
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No 96.7% 5.39 shares