Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $253.85
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- -$48.99
Polymarket Trader
0xc4bc...8901
0xc4bc891d239d8c98a74559b20bc1799ccaeb8901
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.31K
- Realized PnL
- $282.88
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $576.73
- Potential payout
- $601.7
- Potential profit
- $24.97
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.71
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $226.98
- Potential payout
- $560.45
- Potential profit
- $333.47
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $7.29
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Current value
- $247.68
- Potential payout
- $309.41
- Potential profit
- $61.73
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $13.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $242.4
Yes position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.19
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $6.31
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.7%
- Multiplier
- 3.90x
- User PnL
- $6.03
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $4.61
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $3.08
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.41
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$5.29
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 23.8% 1,272.44 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 67.3% 613.28 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 67.5% 316.37 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 41.3% 929.65 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.5% 105.9 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.6% 584.4 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 96.7% 803.45 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 79.1% 247.34 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 61% 134.57 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 95.9% 15.64 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 39.2% 560.45 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 60.6% 134.57 shares