Yes position
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $361
- Potential profit
- $361
- User PnL
- -$203.99
Polymarket Trader
bluthner
0xc4c1e567e3345ffa70192b6964b95e1ba27d8a0e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $125.08
- Realized PnL
- $490.35
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $105.45
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $84.55
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $20.75
Yes position
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.22
- Potential profit
- $172.22
- User PnL
- -$93
Yes position
Will Ansem appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$27.5
No position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.47
- Potential profit
- $120.47
- User PnL
- -$103.95
Yes position
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $86.5
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.95
- Potential profit
- $78.95
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $6.13
- Potential payout
- $6.4
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.09
Yes position
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.05
No position
Will USDT market cap hit $200B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.21
No position
Will another company be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.6
No position
Will Gavin Newsom launch a token in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.04
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.94
No position
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.08
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.62
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
No position
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.14
No position
Will Solana reach $240 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
No position
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.95
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$11.34
No position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.8
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.05
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$19.3
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $88 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.39
Yes position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.2
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.67
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$37.5
ETH position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$42.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?Yes 1% 141.69 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $88 in June?Yes 1% 169.94 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in June?Yes 0.8% 474.41 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?Yes 5.1% 141.69 shares
- Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?No 94% 6.4 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 75.2% 50 shares
- Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?Yes 12.4% 80.75 shares
- Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?Yes 8% 125 shares
- Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?No 69.5% 120.46 shares
- Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?No 90.2% 55.43 shares
- Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?No 90.1% 55.5 shares
- Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?No 84.4% 65.16 shares