Polymarket Trader

mhonkasalo

0xc4c81a4e8e39d374b12e27a0373f6e2ccb4f8618

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $262.84
Realized PnL: $10.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.21K
Potential profit: $4.21K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $2.11K
User PnL: -$207.04

Yes position

Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $2.09K
User PnL: -$158.36

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $2.04K
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$99.98

Yes position

Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.57K
User PnL: -$166

Patriots position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $88.16
Potential payout: $607.98
Potential profit: $519.82
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$111.84

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$137

Yes position

Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $581.7
Potential profit: $581.7
User PnL: -$120.25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $403.47
Potential profit: $403.47
User PnL: -$4.68

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$100

Finland position

Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.47
Potential profit: $289.47
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $37.8
Potential payout: $243.9
Potential profit: $206.1
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$62.19

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242.75
Potential profit: $242.75
User PnL: -$129.93

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$20

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$30

No position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $136.87
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $2.01
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $36.88

Tails position

Big Game: Coin Toss

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$40

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?

Ends Nov 20, 2020

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46K

Buccaneers position

Will the Buccaneers or the Saints win their Jan 17th matchup?

Ends Jan 18, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.15K

Yes position

Will the Ethereum 2.0 Genesis Event happen successfully on December 1st, 2020?

Ends Dec 2, 2020

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $356.04

No position

Will Coinbase reach #1 in the Finance category on the US iOS App Store before 2021?

Ends Jan 2, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $277.22

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.27

No position

Will Josh Giddey's contract be terminated?

Ends Dec 7, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.71

Yes position

Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?

Ends Nov 20, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 22913163.59x
User PnL: $195.93

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Pacers

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.12

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.13

Patriots position

Texans vs. Patriots

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.75

Long position

What will the price of Bitcoin be on November 4th, 2020?

Ends Nov 4, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $148.84

Finland position

EuroBasket: Finland vs. Georgia

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.5

Yes position

Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.18

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.73

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Yes position

Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.04

No position

Will Powell say "Downbeat" during September press conference?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.75

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,400 on September 13?

Ends Sep 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.71

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.39

Yes position

Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.41

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship?

Ends Sep 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?

No 75.9% 105.39 shares
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland

Finland 38% 289.47 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 2.4% 4,214.78 shares
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?

Yes 9% 222.22 shares
Big Game: Coin Toss

Tails 50% 80 shares
Will Taylor Swift attend Super Bowl LX?

No 68% 29.41 shares
Seahawks vs. Patriots

Patriots 32% 625 shares
Seahawks vs. Patriots

Patriots 32% 937.5 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 32.9% 607.98 shares
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?

Yes 68.7% 291.18 shares
Texans vs. Patriots

Patriots 64% 468.75 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?

Yes 3.3% 606.72 shares