No position
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- User PnL
- $0.75
Polymarket Trader
0xc4ca...3df3
0xc4ca43d6909192021cac77bea7b0ad07acc23df3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $3.39K
- Realized PnL
- $601.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- User PnL
- $1.13
Japan position
Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- User PnL
- $0.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 18?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $994.46
- Potential profit
- $994.46
- User PnL
- -$9.94
Team Liquid position
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $956.7
- Potential profit
- $956.7
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Fnatic position
Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $937.41
- Potential profit
- $937.41
- User PnL
- -$83.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 7PM ET
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.51
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.5
Up position
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.88
No position
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-08?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
Grand Canyon Antelopes position
Air Force Falcons vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.28
N
No position
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Algeria?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.81
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.73
No position
Will Exeter City FC win on 2026-01-10?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.36
Arizona Wildcats position
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.91
N
No position
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Senegal?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.53
N
No position
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Haiti?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.29
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.35
Yes position
Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.19
Duke Blue Devils position
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.7
N
No position
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Senegal?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.29
Gonzaga Bulldogs position
Pepperdine Waves vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.54
No position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
N
No position
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 DR Congo?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
Norway position
Spread: Iraq (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
IR Iran position
Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.06
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 2AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?No 99.8% 331.33 shares
- Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?No 99.9% 1,130.07 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 20?No 95% 1,130.07 shares
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Brazil 99.9% 1,128.48 shares
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Brazil 99.9% 1,128.48 shares
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Haiti?No 98.7% 1,128.48 shares
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Haiti?No 99.8% 75.16 shares
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Morocco 99.8% 1,128.23 shares
- Exact Score: Scotland 3 - 2 Morocco?No 99.9% 1,128.23 shares
- Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Australia?No 99.9% 1,128.12 shares
- Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)Mexico 99.6% 1,116.57 shares
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)Canada 99.9% 1,093.9 shares