Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $527.54
- Potential profit
- $527.54
- User PnL
- -$373.41
Polymarket Trader
gavrilak89
0xc4ccb03b638b30851d6981db8aeaeb3351d12a5e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $1.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $324.99
- Potential profit
- $324.99
- User PnL
- -$320.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $306.09
- Potential profit
- $306.09
- User PnL
- -$298.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $255
- Potential profit
- $255
- User PnL
- -$228.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $224.28
- Potential profit
- $224.28
- User PnL
- -$129.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $202.57
- Potential profit
- $202.57
- User PnL
- -$146.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.96
- Potential profit
- $99.96
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.49
- Potential profit
- $37.49
- User PnL
- -$36.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$12.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 24?Yes 99.9% 87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 24?Yes 95.9% 34.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 24?Yes 95.8% 7.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 24?Yes 95.7% 16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 24?Yes 94% 16.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 24?Yes 93% 12.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 24?No 96.5% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 24?No 96.4% 24.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 24?No 84.9% 6.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 24?No 81% 5.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 24?No 16.2% 6.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 24?No 36.2% 2.76 shares