Yes position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $21.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $28.25
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $13.75
Polymarket Trader
mayona
0xc4d82a0598dba49fd4d0e958dc66fbd25d334602
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.95
- Realized PnL
- -$44.44
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
N
No position
Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 83% 24.1 shares
- Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?No 0.3% 20 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 81% 24.69 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 41% 4.65 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 43% 4.65 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 58% 3.45 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 1.3% 46 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 2.1% 46 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 96.8% 30 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 9% 200 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 15% 100 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 10% 200 shares