Yes position
OKX IPO in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $47.78
- Potential payout
- $455.01
- Potential profit
- $407.24
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$4.01
Polymarket Trader
windyefngxghh
0xc4da501d228ed5260bdfaee428f57a4d9aea5fa1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $436.88
- Realized PnL
- -$640.18
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $274
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $126
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $293.44
- Potential profit
- $293.44
- User PnL
- -$49.98
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.6%
- Current value
- $54.18
- Potential payout
- $229.56
- Potential profit
- $175.39
- Multiplier
- 4.24x
- User PnL
- $38.54
Yes position
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.23
- Potential profit
- $101.23
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $56.49
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $43.51
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $34.49
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $4.44
- Potential payout
- $8.97
- Potential profit
- $4.53
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $3.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.37
Yes position
Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.6
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$19.34
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$68
Yes position
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$280.41
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$479
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes 64% 100 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes 64% 100 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes 64% 200 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 99% 200 shares
- Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?Yes 2.1% 2,790 shares
- Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 2% 101.23 shares
- Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?Yes 13.8% 2,127.27 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?Yes 77% 20 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?Yes 81.3% 100 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 18% 193.44 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 18% 193.44 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 24% 100 shares