No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$22
Polymarket Trader
0xC4dc459bD90399f4B0Da76bFf9FAed14c1ccac2a-1768723368053
0xc4dc459bd90399f4b0da76bff9faed14c1ccac2a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.75
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $660
- Potential profit
- $660
- User PnL
- -$33
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $5.48
- Potential payout
- $202.9
- Potential profit
- $197.42
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$8.52
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $13.55
- Potential payout
- $29.46
- Potential profit
- $15.91
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$6.45
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.3%
- Current value
- $10.73
- Potential payout
- $24.8
- Potential profit
- $14.08
- Multiplier
- 2.31x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 40.3% 24.8 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 67.9% 29.46 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Yes 6.9% 202.9 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 0.1% 22,000 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 28% 100 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes 0.8% 2,500 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 5% 660 shares