Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $31.32
- Potential payout
- $136.15
- Potential profit
- $104.84
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$7.36
Polymarket Trader
0xc4e1...4eae
0xc4e11c3dc02329683edf57eb3c6a60b5027c4eae
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $55.51
- Realized PnL
- $541.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $12.34
- Potential payout
- $53.66
- Potential profit
- $41.32
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$2.42
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $7.75
- Potential payout
- $10.06
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $5.33
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?Up 22% 4.82 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?Down 79% 3.87 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?Up 26% 4.08 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?Up 24% 4.42 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?Down 79% 1.27 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?Down 76% 3.97 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?Down 76% 1.43 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?Down 74% 1.47 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?Down 75% 1.45 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?Down 72% 1.92 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?Up 32% 3.75 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?Up 29% 3.66 shares