Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $576.9
- Potential profit
- $576.9
- User PnL
- -$26.72
Polymarket Trader
meklaren
0xc4e12d1921aacbc65557951ca0c6c7a0cdaa5c0c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $160.5
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $79.75
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $470.25
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$46.25
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $7.4
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $192.6
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $190.5
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $80.5
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $35.1
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $24.9
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.3% 200 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 5.5% 85 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 150 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 100 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 1.8% 93.69 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Yes 0.2% 524.99 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 0.5% 10 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?No 0.2% 500 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Yes 2.1% 200 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 99.9% 50 shares
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No 27.7% 15 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?No 69% 37.5 shares