Polymarket Trader

0xC4e1CF6C2EF6FE159E10Cccc2f21fF48634663Dd-1781446542327

@liwn122179

0xc4e1cf6c2ef6fe159e10cccc2f21ff48634663dd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.17
Realized PnL: $23.05
Win rate: 78.6%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.38
Potential profit: $289.38
User PnL: -$150.1

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $58.15
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $0.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $51.82
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Japan be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.17
Potential profit: $44.17
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $1.66
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.34
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.5
Potential profit: $36.5
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $5.53
Potential payout: $25.71
Potential profit: $20.19
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $2.69
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $16.54
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.88
Potential profit: $18.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $4.32
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $13.32
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Brazil be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.5
Potential profit: $15.5
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $10.14
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $2.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.62
Potential profit: $14.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.81
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 0 Canada?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will France win the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Will Japan go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

9.2% 10.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Up 34.2% 14.62 shares
Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Yes 36.6% 2.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Up 50% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Down 78.4% 6.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Up 48% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Up 45% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Up 49% 11.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Up 44% 11.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Up 38% 17.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Up 29% 17.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Up 40% 12.5 shares