Polymarket Trader

idan001

@McEmmas

0xc4e855492f2762fe023aa904bc0ab96db1b00e6d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $349.53
Realized PnL: $983.86
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $2.53K
User PnL: -$75.76

Yes position

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $202.93
Potential payout: $563.71
Potential profit: $360.77
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $124.02

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $82.46
Potential payout: $446.93
Potential profit: $364.47
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $2.46

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $352.36
Potential profit: $352.36
User PnL: -$96.9

No position

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.5
Potential profit: $272.5
User PnL: -$7.42

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.04
Potential profit: $206.04
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump say "N Word" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.9
Potential profit: $91.9
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $34.7
Potential payout: $71.54
Potential profit: $36.84
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.19
Potential profit: $55.19
User PnL: -$24.67

Yes position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.47
Potential profit: $51.47
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.6
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.98

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.87
Potential profit: $38.87
User PnL: -$3.42

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $11.73
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $26.73
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.4
Potential profit: $35.4
User PnL: -$10.62

Yes position

Will Antonio Rüdiger score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $6.38
Potential payout: $34.58
Potential profit: $28.2
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: -$3.62

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $11.3
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $10.43
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $1.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.62

Yes position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.96

No position

Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.36

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.06

Yes position

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.6

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.4

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.74

Yes position

Will “Nobody Wants This” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.69

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.59

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.79

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.35

Yes position

Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.81

Yes position

Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.06

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-22?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 44.7% 55.19 shares
Will Antonio Rüdiger score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 28.9% 34.58 shares
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 46% 21.74 shares
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 26% 38.46 shares
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21% 47.62 shares
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 40% 25 shares
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 34% 51.47 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 6,048.75 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 487.8 shares
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 48.7% 30.23 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 20% 250 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.6% 707.96 shares