Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $84.54
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$231.06
Polymarket Trader
0xc4ea...62c5
0xc4eaee3cdd1e20a75209250dc8c67a6d180262c5
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $100.08
- Realized PnL
- $21.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $4.28
- Potential payout
- $103.2
- Potential profit
- $98.92
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$4.49
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $11.27
- Potential payout
- $12.18
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.45K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.22K
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94K
No position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $621.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $519.08
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $481.52
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.36
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.33
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.49
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.73
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.95
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.07
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.03
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.86
No position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.25
No position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 189.71 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 99.4% 6,665.91 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No 0.1% 10,982.38 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No 19% 180.3 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 0.4% 4,150 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 97.4% 5,555 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No 0.5% 5,000 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No 7% 5,555 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No 8% 11,662.36 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 3.4% 1,572.05 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.6% 11,445.26 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?No 0.6% 10,163.56 shares