Polymarket Trader

0xC4F04d9b7Fc50433aCEBc5F87f2f311B622633E6-1772338966901

0xc4f04d9b7fc50433acebc5f87f2f311b622633e6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.76
Realized PnL: -$260.21
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.24
Multiplier: 11.36x
User PnL: $1.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.84

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $3.47

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41

Yes position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.9

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.28

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.36

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.25

Yes position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.45

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30.4

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$80.95

Yes position

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$140

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?

Yes 74% 189.19 shares
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

Yes 96.3% 148.92 shares
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

Yes 92.7% 148.92 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Yes 3.4% 30 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 56.1% 30 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 44.8% 20 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 44.8% 10 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 40.4% 11 shares
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Yes 30% 60 shares
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Yes 29% 40 shares
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Yes 31% 20 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 0.4% 5 shares