Polymarket Trader

0xC4F13a119E6f2d8506b0f588475F7FC982a72343-1767913914976

0xc4f13a119e6f2d8506b0f588475f7fc982a72343

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $129.35
Realized PnL: $617.49
Win rate: 47.8%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.37K
Potential profit: $7.37K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $632.1
Potential profit: $632.1
User PnL: -$100

No position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $421.05
Potential profit: $421.05
User PnL: -$320

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$100

Under position

Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.36
Potential profit: $289.36
User PnL: -$136

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $129.35
Potential payout: $182.18
Potential profit: $52.83
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $29.35

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.25
Potential profit: $125.25
User PnL: -$101

No position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $119.05
User PnL: -$50

Over position

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $106.38
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.08
Potential profit: $30.08
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395.35

No position

Will "Jamie" be said 5+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.33

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.53

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.51

Croatia position

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.51

No position

Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.77

No position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

Bosnia and Herzegovina position

Spread: United States (-2.5)

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

Max Holloway position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.63

No position

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.71

Yes position

Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.41

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.48

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.93

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$18.75

No position

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$19.97

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$36.17

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$37.38

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,350-$4,475 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$63.43

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$64.83

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$95.71

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$169.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Over 47% 106.38 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Max Holloway 67% 74.63 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Under 47% 289.36 shares
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Croatia 67% 298.51 shares
Spread: United States (-2.5)

Bosnia and Herzegovina 74% 135.14 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

No 42% 119.05 shares
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

No 80.6% 125.25 shares
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?

No 32% 312.5 shares
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?

No 73% 136.99 shares
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

No 76% 421.05 shares
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

No 82.2% 3,441.58 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?

No 46.5% 2,884.91 shares