Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.75K
- Potential payout
- $500K
- Potential profit
- $497.25K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.25K
Polymarket Trader
splaym
0xc4fd6e1f97d9d2d21e6f4d05811a724340d4fe19
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.26K
- Realized PnL
- $50.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.77K
- Potential profit
- $27.77K
- User PnL
- -$14.49K
Kraken position
Blackhawks vs. Kraken
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$12.2K
Sabres position
Sabres vs. Capitals
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$10.2K
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.85K
- Potential profit
- $8.85K
- User PnL
- -$840.42
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.34K
- Potential profit
- $8.34K
- User PnL
- -$635.47
Yes position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Yes position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.62K
- Potential profit
- $7.62K
- User PnL
- -$457.29
No position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
No position
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.58K
- Potential profit
- $6.58K
- User PnL
- -$4.42K
Yes position
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.49K
- Potential profit
- $6.49K
- User PnL
- -$530.44
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.95K
- Potential profit
- $5.95K
- User PnL
- -$472.19
No position
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.49K
- Potential profit
- $5.49K
- User PnL
- -$3.71K
No position
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.48K
- Potential profit
- $5.48K
- User PnL
- -$2.48K
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.64
- Potential payout
- $5.28K
- Potential profit
- $5.27K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.37K
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.04K
- Potential profit
- $5.04K
- User PnL
- -$365.77
Yes position
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.47K
- Potential profit
- $4.47K
- User PnL
- -$129.42
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.43K
- Potential profit
- $3.43K
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
No position
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.24K
- Potential profit
- $3.24K
- User PnL
- -$2.43K
No position
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.2K
- User PnL
- -$2.62K
No position
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$1.98K
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.6%
- Current value
- $503.28
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 4.43x
- User PnL
- -$358.21
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- User PnL
- -$505.08
Yes position
Will Fabiano Caruana vs. Matthias Bluebaum end in a draw?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.04K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.66K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86K
Yes position
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $930.08
No position
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $839.22
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $633.03
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $609.5
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.58
No position
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $242.77
No position
Will Praggnanandhaa R win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.07
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.05
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.97
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 99,897.83 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?No 98.7% 20,000 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?No 23.5% 15,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?No 98.8% 23,066.78 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?No 97.5% 3,700 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?No 94% 6,470.33 shares
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?No 99.9% 20 shares
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?No 97.7% 12,644.28 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?No 89% 1,332.28 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.9% 30,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?Yes 65% 79.61 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?Yes 57% 189.91 shares