No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $123.7
- Potential payout
- $126.93
- Potential profit
- $3.24
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Polymarket Trader
Theoore
@Mike51444505
0xc514238bb2dbc27414d3a2f193e7b61286275176
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $214.11
- Realized PnL
- $87.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $59.65
- Potential payout
- $65.91
- Potential profit
- $6.26
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17.26
- Potential payout
- $17.27
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $14.39
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.08
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.64
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.19
Czechia position
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmark
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
Yes position
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88% 65.91 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 96.9% 126.93 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No 97.2% 41.15 shares
- Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?Yes 81% 22.2 shares
- Kash Patel out by April 30?No 88.1% 18.14 shares
- Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes 95.9% 18.77 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes 87.9% 140 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No 99.2% 104.6 shares
- Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?No 98.5% 19.29 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No 98.4% 104.61 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 99.8% 22.4 shares
- Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 99.8% 38.27 shares