Polymarket Trader

realjezza

0xc517fe4abf31de76a0757631e2b7a07398cc3491

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $40.92
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $2.24K
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$347.72

No position

Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $403.23
Potential profit: $403.23
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.77
Potential profit: $399.77
User PnL: -$19.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $339.84
Potential profit: $339.84
User PnL: -$98.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324.27
Potential profit: $324.27
User PnL: -$49.79

Yes position

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $22.24
Potential payout: $317.66
Potential profit: $295.43
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$27.76

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.14
Potential profit: $299.14
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $238.75
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$48.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242.7
Potential profit: $242.7
User PnL: -$10.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.41
Potential profit: $109.41
User PnL: -$49.23

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.74
Potential profit: $94.74
User PnL: -$18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.98
Potential profit: $28.98
User PnL: -$10.92

No position

Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $7.44
Potential payout: $7.56
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Up 15.4% 322.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Down 45% 107.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Down 21% 235.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Up 51.2% 189.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Down 97% 100.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Down 99.8% 100.23 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 33% 217.39 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18.2% 585 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Up 30% 1,146.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Down 0.1% 1,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Up 30% 325.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Up 29.1% 336.19 shares