Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $194.13
- Potential profit
- $177.63
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$36.43
Polymarket Trader
wpsk
0xc5187b4d5f8ab8655642970a69aa915b2b92671c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.52
- Realized PnL
- $263.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $2.74
- Potential payout
- $53.19
- Potential profit
- $50.45
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$2.26
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $51.1
- Potential profit
- $50.1
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $43.1
- Potential profit
- $41.7
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $36.67
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $39.22
- Potential profit
- $36.67
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.45
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $32.19
- Potential profit
- $27.2
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$5.83
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $25.91
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $26.38
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $20.6
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $23.69
- Potential profit
- $20.78
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.19
- Potential payout
- $20.84
- Potential profit
- $18.65
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $19.19
- Potential profit
- $16.89
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $13.64
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $11.53
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.3%
- Current value
- $6.91
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $5.59
- Multiplier
- 1.81x
- User PnL
- $5.91
Yes position
Stripe IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $12.11
- Potential profit
- $11.32
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $10.6
- Multiplier
- 11.36x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Brex IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.89
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Ramp IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $9.94
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.55
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $9.71
- Potential profit
- $8.8
- Multiplier
- 10.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.29
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.82
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.09
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.53
Yes position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.07
No position
Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.74
No position
Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-01?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79
Yes position
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
No position
Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Yes position
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-01?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Aflac (AFL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
Will Ford Motor (F) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 13% 11.62 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes 99.9% 1.51 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 16% 14 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 2.2% 90.91 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 1.19 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 89% 3.7 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 1.7% 117.65 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 36% 3.12 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 23.8% 3.93 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 13% 56.15 shares
- Epstein storage units raided in 2026?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 73% 1.47 shares